Question Mark (Polygonia interrogationis)
Driftless Area South Central Wisconsin, Dane County USA
2019-10-8 _F2A1478aaa
+18.4C by 2026 now unfolding. Our end is going to be mercifully swift. Pull your kids outta school and tell you boss to shove it, cause it doesn’t matter now
A HUGE TEMPERATURE RISE THREATENS TO UNFOLD SOON
Temperatures are currently suppressed as we're in the depth of a persistent La Niña event. It is rare for a La Niña event to last as long as the current one does, as illustrated by the first image.
The image also indicates that a strong El Niño has become more common over the years. The image was created using data up to September 2022. La Niña has since continued.
Chances are that we'll move into the next El Niño in the course of 2023. Moving from the bottom of a La Niña to the peak of a strong El Niño could make a difference of more than half a degree Celsius.
The upcoming El Niño looks set to coincide with a high number of sunspots. The number of sunspots is forecast to reach a peak in July 2025 and recent numbers are higher than expected, as illustrated by the second image.
An analysis in an earlier post concludes that the rise in sunspots from May 2020 to July 2025 could make a difference of some 0.15°C. Recent numbers of sunspots have been high. This confirms the study mentioned in the earlier post that warns that the peak of this cycle could rival the top few since records began, which would further increase the difference.
In conclusion, the joint impact of a strong El Niño and high sunspots could make a difference of more than 0.65°C. This rise could trigger further developments and feedbacks that altogether could cause a temperature rise from pre-industrial of as much as 18.44°C by 2026.
A combination of further developments and feedbacks could cause a huge temperature rise. An example of this is the decline of the cryosphere, i.e. the global snow and ice cover.
Antarctic sea ice extent is currently at a record low for the time of year, as illustrated by the third image. Antarctic sea ice extent reached a record low on February 25, 2022, and Antarctic sea ice extent looks set to get even lower this year.
Global sea ice extent is also at a record low for the time of year, as illustrated by the fourth image, which shows that global sea ice extent was 4.6 million km² on January 2, 2023.
The fifth image shows a forecast for September 2023 of the 2-meter temperature anomaly in degrees Celsius and based on 1984-2009 model climatology. The anomalies are forecast to be very high for the Arctic Ocean, as well as for the Southern Ocean around Antarctica, which spells bad news for sea ice at both hemispheres.
Loss of sea ice results in loss of albedo and loss of the latent heat buffer that - when present - consumes ocean heat as the sea ice melts. These combined losses could result in a large additional temperature rise, while there are further contributors to the temperature rise, such as thawing of terrestrial permafrost and associated changes such as deformation of the Jet Stream and additional ocean heat moving into the Arctic from the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean.
There are many further developments and feedbacks that could additionally speed up the temperature rise, such as the (currently accelerating) rise of greenhouse gas emissions, falling away of the aerosol masking effect, more biomass being burned for energy and an increase in forest and waste fires.
As said, these developments and feedbacks could jointly cause a temperature rise from pre-industrial of as much as 18.44°C by 2026. Keep in mind that humans are likely to go extinct with a rise of 3°C.
From the post 'A huge temperature rise threatens to unfold soon', at:
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Oh the boobery of their continuous quest to pocket all the wealth of the country. And this is kind of unfair to boot-edge-edge who is really Secretary of Transportation to pass out money to those select special interests who can ensure kickbacks. It’s not like he was supposed to watch over the countries transportation infrastructure:
“Delta pilot allegedly blames Pete Buttigieg for delay over PA system”
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Only in America,..,
can Trump’s over the top fraudulent tax returns get released with evidence of his scheme to stick working Americans with the cost of eliminating taxes on rich Americans
THE SAME DAY
a slew of NEW TAXES kick in that burden working Americans because Democrats refused to cancel Trump’s Tax Scam law for the rich!!!
You can’t make this shit up!
So the 99% get new inflation, costlier interest rates, and new taxes, all at a time when the death of the planet is just starting to bite down and Biden won’t combat that death because of a misnamed inflation reduction act that simply is hollow given the problem (and that includes the farcical reliance on nonsensical, abysmally ineffective, completely bogus ’clean energy’ schemes)
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